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Financial market risks

The Group publishes its consolidated annual accounts in pounds sterling. The Group held approximately 72% of its total assets in US dollars at 28 January 2006 and generated approximately 73% of its sales and 80% of its operating profit in US dollars for the financial year then ended. Thus, although the Group’s US operations make substantially all of their sales and incur substantially all of their expenses in US dollars, in translating the results of its US operations, the Group’s results are subject to fluctuations in the exchange rate between the pound sterling and the US dollar. Accordingly, depreciation in the weighted average value of the US dollar against the pound sterling could decrease reported revenues and operating profit (as was the case in 2002/03, 2003/04 and 2004/05), and appreciation in the weighted average value of the US dollar against the pound sterling could increase reported revenues and operating profit (as was the case in 2000/01, 2001/02 and 2005/06). The Board has chosen not to hedge the translation effect of exchange rate movements on the results of the Group given that there is little movement of cash between the Group’s two divisions.

As part of its long-term strategy, the Group seeks to finance its US net assets with borrowings denominated in US dollars as a hedge against the impact of exchange rate fluctuations on its US operating profit. Currently nearly all of the Group’s borrowings are denominated in US dollars. Therefore fluctuations in the exchange rate between the pound sterling and the US dollar affect the amount of the Group’s consolidated borrowings.

In addition, the prices of materials and certain products bought on the international markets by the UK division are denominated in US dollars, and therefore the Group has an exposure to exchange rates on the cost of goods sold which will have an opposite effect to its exposure on US operating profit. The Group does use hedging operations in respect of purchases of US dollars by its UK division, within the treasury guidelines approved by the Group’s Board.

Cash dividends paid by the Group in respect of the shares will be in pounds sterling and fluctuations in the exchange rate between the pound sterling and the US dollar will affect the dollar amount received by holders of ADSs upon conversion of such dividends. Moreover, fluctuations in the exchange rate between the pound sterling and the US dollar will affect the US dollar equivalents of the pound sterling price of the shares on the London Stock Exchange and, as a result, are likely to affect the market price of the ADSs in the US.

The table below sets out, for the calendar years indicated, the average, high, low and period end exchange rates for the pound sterling expressed in US dollars per £1.

The Group’s policy is to manage financial risk resulting from exposure to currency and interest rate fluctuations. Translation exposure relating to non-pound sterling denominated assets in the US is partially hedged by borrowing in US dollars. Interest rate exposure is managed through the use of swaps, caps and floors.

A committee of the Board is responsible for the implementation of treasury policies and guidelines which are considered to be appropriate by the Board for the management of financial risk. The Group’s funding, liquidity and exposure to interest rate and exchange rate risks are managed by the Group’s treasury department. The Group uses derivative instruments for risk management purposes only, and these are transacted by specialist treasury personnel.

For financial instruments held, the Group has used a sensitivity analysis technique that measures the change in the fair value of the Group’s financial instruments from hypothetical changes in market rates and this is shown in the table below.

Exchange rates between the pound sterling and the US dollar(1)
  Average High Low At period end
Calendar year        
2001

1.44

1.50

1.38

1.45

2002

1.51

1.61

1.41

1.61

2003

1.62

1.79

1.55

1.77

2004

1.79

1.96

1.75

1.92

2005

1.90

1.93

1.85

1.88

2006 (cumulative to 5 April)

1.75

1.79

1.72

1.75

Month        
September 2005

1.81

1.84

1.76

1.76

October 2005

1.77

1.78

1.75

1.77

November 2005

1.74

1.78

1.72

1.73

December 2005

1.74

1.78

1.72

1.72

January 2006

1.76

1.79

1.72

1.78

February 2006

1.75

1.78

1.74

1.75

March 2006

1.75

1.76

1.72

1.74

 

  1. Based on unweighted data points sourced from Reuters.

The amounts generated from the sensitivity analysis are forwardlooking estimates of market risk assuming certain adverse market conditions occur. Actual results in the future may differ materially from those projected due to changes in the portfolio of financial instruments held and actual developments in the global financial markets. These may cause fluctuations in interest and exchange rates to exceed the hypothetical amounts disclosed in the table above.

The example shown for changes in the fair values of borrowings and associated derivative financial instruments at 28 January 2006 is set out in the table below. The fair values of borrowings and derivative financial instruments are estimated by discounting the future cash
flows to net present values using appropriate market rates prevailing at the period end.

The estimated changes in fair values for interest rate movements are based on an instantaneous decrease of 1% (100 basis points) in the specific rate of interest applicable to each class of financial instruments from the levels effective at 28 January 2006 with all other variables remaining constant. The estimated changes in the fair value for foreign exchange rates are based on an instantaneous 10% weakening of the pound sterling against the US dollar from the levels applicable at 28 January 2006 with all other variables remaining constant.

Fair value changes arising from:
  Estimated fair
value at
28 January 2006
1% decrease in
interest rates
(unfavourable)
10% weakening
in £ against $
favourable/
(unfavourable)
Estimated fair
value at
29 January 2005
Borrowings (151.1) (1.0) (17.1) (180.3)
Foreign currency receivable 382.4 - 42.5 382.4
Foreign exchange contracts 0.5 - 6.1 (0.8)
Commodity hedging contracts 1.5 - - -


The analysis above should not be considered to be a projection of likely future events.

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